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I don’t find this evidence conclusive, but it is strong enough to at least make me think that a draft is possible in the near future.
The most interesting point is that fact that after 20 years with no budget increase, the SSS (Selective Service System – registers people in case of a draft) recently got it’s budget increased by $28 million, nearly doubling it.
Also, the memos linked to below show an interest by Rumsfeld and Wolfowitz to reinstate the draft. Plus the fact that the military seems very strapped for now and the immediate future.
One of the reasons I can’t decide what to think is that it would obviously be political suicide for Bush. But, if he gets re-elected perhaps he will do it in 2005 and hope, for his party’s sake, that it has blown over by 2008. If Bush’s “conviction” to invade other countries in the name of democracy is strong enough, I don’t see him having much of a choice. The military just can’t support his crusades forever without more people.